Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

168
with risk signals

Critical

1
score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains
cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻
UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-08-21 → 2026-08-22)

Burkina Faso ▲ 18.9
14.0 → 32.9 · GUARDED
Peru ▲ 9.1
27.8 → 36.9 · GUARDED
United Arab Emirates ▲ 8.1
22.3 → 30.4 · GUARDED
Ecuador ▲ 6.8
26.4 → 33.2 · GUARDED
Ireland ▲ 6.7
4.9 → 11.6 · LOW
Venezuela ▲ 2.9
44.8 → 47.7 · ELEVATED
Australia ▲ 2.6
25.6 → 28.2 · GUARDED
Bangladesh ▲ 2.5
38.8 → 41.3 · ELEVATED
Azerbaijan ▲ 1.3
30.9 → 32.2 · GUARDED
Morocco ▲ 0.9
32.3 → 33.2 · GUARDED
Switzerland ▲ 0.9
27.5 → 28.4 · GUARDED
Bulgaria ▲ 0.9
20.2 → 21.1 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (168)

#CountryRegionRiskΔTierCyberSanctionsWantedRule of LawCorruptionDisplaced
1 Russia Europe 68.8 — CRITICAL 86 6 — -0.80 — 1.6M
2 Venezuela Americas 47.5 ▲2.9 ELEVATED 4 — — -2.10 — 6.1M
3 Pakistan Asia 45.5 — ELEVATED 38 — — -0.60 — 2.2M
4 United States Americas 45.2 — ELEVATED 769 — — 1.42 — 3M
5 China Asia 44.6 — ELEVATED 137 — — -0.15 — 130K
6 India Asia 44.4 — ELEVATED 136 — — 0.02 — 277K
7 Ukraine Europe 44.2 — ELEVATED 19 — — -0.55 — 6M
8 Nigeria Africa 44.1 — ELEVATED 21 — — -0.90 — 695.6K
9 Iran Asia 43.1 — ELEVATED 7 — — -1.00 — 4M
10 Turkey Asia 42.7 — ELEVATED 19 — — -0.35 — 3.6M
11 Bangladesh Asia 42.6 ▲2.5 ELEVATED 17 — — -0.65 — 1M
12 Libya Africa 41.5 — ELEVATED 2 — — -1.90 — 166.7K
13 North Korea Asia 40.3 — ELEVATED — 6 — -1.55 — —
14 Brazil Americas 39.9 — GUARDED 20 — — -0.25 — 303.9K
15 Estonia Europe 39.8 — GUARDED 11 2 — 1.30 — 42.4K
16 Vietnam Asia 39.7 — GUARDED 26 — — -0.02 — 330K
17 Cameroon Africa 39.6 — GUARDED 3 — — -1.10 — 625.6K
18 Hong Kong Asia 38.3 — GUARDED 39 1 — — — 301
19 Kenya Africa 38.3 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.45 — 691.8K
20 South Sudan Africa 37.7 — GUARDED — — — -2.20 — 2.7M
21 Somalia Africa 37.1 — GUARDED — — — -2.30 — 868.3K
22 Afghanistan Asia 37 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 6.4M
23 Italy Europe 37 — GUARDED 18 — — 0.35 — 445.2K
24 Colombia Americas 36.7 — GUARDED 5 — — -0.30 — 499.6K
25 Peru Americas 36.7 ▲9.1 GUARDED 3 — — -0.55 — 515.1K
26 Poland Europe 36.7 — GUARDED 15 — — 0.45 — 978.5K
27 United Kingdom Europe 36.6 — GUARDED 93 — — 1.50 — 586.8K
28 Mali Africa 36.6 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.95 — 564.1K
29 Syria Asia 36.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.80 — 6.4M
30 Latvia Europe 36.2 — GUARDED 1 2 — 0.92 — 46.3K
31 Germany Europe 36.1 — GUARDED 185 — — 1.62 — 71.3K
32 Mexico Americas 35.8 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.55 — 492.2K
33 South Africa Africa 35.4 — GUARDED 11 — — 0.05 — 78K
34 Egypt Africa 35 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.35 — 40K
35 France Europe 35 — GUARDED 40 — — 1.33 — 744K
36 Guatemala Americas 35 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.90 — 140K
37 DR Congo Africa 34.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 2.6M
38 Serbia Europe 34.4 — GUARDED 4 — — -0.15 — 183.6K
39 Canada Americas 33.8 — GUARDED 54 — — 1.66 — 433K
40 Romania Europe 33.8 — GUARDED 8 — — 0.20 — 88.6K
41 Thailand Asia 33.5 — GUARDED 5 — — 0.02 — 89K
42 Armenia Asia 33.4 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.30 — 150.7K
43 Central African Republic Africa 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 750K
44 Moldova Europe 33.4 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.35 — 121.5K
45 Yemen Asia 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 150.8K
46 Ecuador Americas 33.1 ▲6.8 GUARDED 1 — — -0.65 — 70.6K
47 Morocco Africa 33.1 ▲0.9 GUARDED 3 — — -0.10 — 119.5K
48 Uzbekistan Asia 33 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.75 — 9.4K
49 Burkina Faso Africa 32.7 ▲18.9 GUARDED 19 — — — — 60K
50 Eritrea Africa 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.50 — 580.1K
51 Myanmar Asia 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.35 — 1.3M
52 Indonesia Asia 32.5 — GUARDED 84 — — -0.30 — —
53 United Arab Emirates Asia 32.4 ▲8.1 GUARDED 5 — — 0.55 — 472.8K
54 Sudan Africa 32.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 1.1M
55 Azerbaijan Asia 32 ▲1.3 GUARDED 2 — — -0.65 — 5.9K
56 Dominican Republic Americas 32 — GUARDED 4 — — -0.35 — 5K
57 South Korea Asia 31.8 — GUARDED 28 — — 1.15 — 30.8K
58 Kazakhstan Asia 31.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — 43.2K
59 Haiti Americas 31.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.70 — 60K
60 Georgia Asia 31.4 — GUARDED 3 — — -0.05 — 27.1K
61 Sri Lanka Asia 31.4 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 120.6K
62 Iraq Asia 31.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 649.1K
63 Nicaragua Americas 31.1 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 314.5K
64 Burundi Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.15 — 397.5K
65 Chad Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 110K
66 Argentina Americas 30.5 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.22 — 11.2K
67 Sweden Europe 30.1 — GUARDED 28 — — 1.88 — 248.9K
68 Finland Europe 29.5 — GUARDED 36 — — 1.97 — 97.3K
69 Lithuania Europe 29.5 — GUARDED 7 — — 0.98 — 80.6K
70 Ethiopia Africa 29.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.70 — 1.2M
71 Tunisia Africa 29.4 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 15.1K
72 Belgium Europe 29.3 — GUARDED 9 — — 1.35 — 212.4K
73 Czechia Europe 29.3 — GUARDED 4 — — 1.02 — 378.4K
74 Switzerland Europe 29.1 ▲0.9 GUARDED 14 — — 1.95 — 1.1M
75 Honduras Americas 29.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 250K
76 Hungary Europe 28.9 — GUARDED 2 — — 0.42 — 63.2K
77 Japan Asia 28.8 — GUARDED 18 — — 1.55 — 46.3K
78 Senegal Africa 28.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.10 — 12.6K
79 Uganda Africa 28.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.45 — 1.6M
80 Australia Oceania 28.2 ▲2.6 GUARDED 9 — — 1.68 — 413K
81 Tajikistan Asia 27.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 11.5K
82 Turkmenistan Asia 27.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 3.6K
83 Croatia Europe 27.2 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.35 — 26.6K
84 Belarus Europe 27.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.90 — 40.4K
85 El Salvador Americas 26.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.75 — 60K
86 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe 26.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.35 — 391
87 Chile Americas 26.3 — GUARDED 4 — — 1.00 — 15K
88 Jordan Asia 25.7 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 723.8K
89 Cyprus Asia 25.6 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.85 — 70.7K
90 Albania Europe 25.3 — GUARDED — — — -0.35 — 107.3K
91 Zimbabwe Africa 25.2 — GUARDED 1 — — -1.20 — —
92 Rwanda Africa 24.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.10 — 378.3K
93 Bolivia Americas 24 — GUARDED — — — -0.85 — 2.1K
94 Cambodia Asia 23.9 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.95 — —
95 Norway Europe 23.8 — GUARDED 5 — — 2.00 — 108.6K
96 Greece Europe 23.7 — GUARDED — — — 0.12 — 225.1K
97 Algeria Africa 23.5 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.60 — —
98 Montenegro Europe 23.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 64.9K
99 Netherlands Europe 22.8 — GUARDED 106 — — 1.80 — —
100 Benin Africa 22.7 — GUARDED 2 — — — — 13K
101 Nepal Asia 22.5 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.40 — —
102 Spain Europe 21.7 — GUARDED 19 — — 0.95 — —
103 Malaysia Asia 21.7 — GUARDED 8 — — 0.45 — —
104 Cuba Americas 21.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.80 — 161
105 Liberia Africa 21.4 — GUARDED 3 — — — — 1.8K
106 Tanzania Africa 21.4 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — —
107 Ghana Africa 21.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.02 — 11.3K
108 Bulgaria Europe 21 ▲0.9 GUARDED 3 — — 0.08 — —
109 Slovakia Europe 21 — GUARDED — — — 0.55 — 127K
110 Luxembourg Europe 20.9 — GUARDED 2 — — 1.78 — 17.5K
111 Namibia Africa 20 — GUARDED — — — 0.20 — 7.1K
112 Taiwan Asia 19.9 — LOW 17 — — 1.25 — —
113 Mauritius Africa 19.8 — LOW 8 — — 0.83 — —
114 Singapore Asia 19.7 — LOW 41 — — 1.82 — —
115 Costa Rica Americas 19.6 — LOW 5 — — 0.62 — —
116 Saudi Arabia Asia 19.6 — LOW — — — 0.20 — 4.8K
117 French Guiana Americas 19 — LOW — — — — — 3M
118 New Zealand Oceania 17.8 — LOW 1 — — 1.85 — 3.7K
119 Israel Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 1.00 — 26.7K
120 Oman Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 0.30 — 721
121 Austria Europe 17.2 — LOW 16 — — 1.76 — —
122 Malta Europe 17 — LOW — — — 0.90 — 12.6K
123 Laos Asia 16.3 — LOW — — — -0.75 — —
124 Slovenia Europe 16.2 — LOW — — — 1.05 — 11.7K
125 Niger Africa 16.1 — LOW — — — — — 301.6K
126 Paraguay Americas 15.3 — LOW — — — -0.55 — —
127 Qatar Asia 14.8 — LOW — — — 0.65 — 337
128 Zambia Africa 14.3 — LOW — — — -0.35 — —
129 Uruguay Americas 13.9 — LOW 1 — — 1.05 — —
130 Portugal Europe 13.7 — LOW 1 — — 1.10 — —
131 North Macedonia Europe 13.5 — LOW — — — -0.20 — —
132 Tonga Oceania 13.3 — LOW — — — — — 32.6K
133 Djibouti Africa 13.2 — LOW — — — — — 31.5K
134 Denmark Europe 13.2 — LOW 5 — — 1.90 — —
135 Kyrgyzstan Asia 13.1 — LOW — — — — — 29K
136 Jamaica Americas 13 — LOW — — — -0.10 — —
137 Ireland Europe 12.8 ▲6.7 LOW 2 — — 1.53 — —
138 Mozambique Africa 12.8 — LOW — — — — — 23.6K
139 Monaco Europe 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19K
140 Macao Asia 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19.6K
141 Panama Americas 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 18.7K
142 Papua New Guinea Oceania 12.2 — LOW — — — — — 13.8K
143 Kuwait Asia 12 — LOW — — — 0.10 — —
144 Congo Africa 11.8 — LOW 3 — — — — —
145 Eswatini Africa 11.8 — LOW 3 — — — — —
146 Guam Oceania 10.9 — LOW — — — — — 5.3K
147 Gabon Africa 10.7 — LOW — — — — — 4.5K
148 Suriname Americas 10.1 — LOW — — — — — 2.7K
149 Botswana Africa 9.9 — LOW — — — 0.52 — —
150 Belize Americas 9.8 — LOW — — — — — 2.2K
151 Philippines Asia 9.7 — LOW — — — — — 2K
152 Angola Africa 8.9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
153 Cote d'Ivoire Africa 8.9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
154 Malawi Africa 8.9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
155 Puerto Rico Americas 8.9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
156 Cabo Verde Africa 8.8 — LOW — — — 0.75 — —
157 Liechtenstein Europe 8.2 — LOW — — — — — 607
158 Bahamas Americas 7.8 — LOW — — — — — 460
159 Sint Maarten Americas 6.2 — LOW — — — — — 133
160 Guyana Americas 5.6 — LOW — — — — — 82
161 Guinea-Bissau Africa 5.1 — LOW — — — — — 54
162 Iceland Europe 3.9 — LOW — — — 1.72 — —
163 Sao Tome and Principe Africa 3.8 — LOW — — — — — 19
164 Nauru Oceania 3.4 — LOW — — — — — 13
165 Mongolia Asia 3.1 — LOW — — — — — 10
166 Turks and Caicos Islands Americas 2.7 — LOW — — — — — 7
167 Saint Lucia Americas 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5
168 Vatican City Europe 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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