Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

185
with risk signals

Critical

1
score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains
cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻
UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-09-02 → 2026-09-13)

North Macedonia ▲ 8.9
13.5 → 22.4 · GUARDED
Bolivia ▲ 8
24.0 → 32.0 · GUARDED
Zambia ▲ 7.9
14.3 → 22.2 · GUARDED
Botswana ▲ 7.9
9.9 → 17.8 · LOW
Iceland ▲ 7.9
3.9 → 11.8 · LOW
Slovenia ▲ 7.2
16.2 → 23.4 · GUARDED
Chad ▲ 6.2
30.6 → 36.8 · GUARDED
Uganda ▲ 6.2
28.4 → 34.6 · GUARDED
El Salvador ▲ 6.2
26.8 → 33.0 · GUARDED
Cuba ▲ 6.2
21.4 → 27.6 · GUARDED
Belarus ▲ 4.8
33.5 → 38.3 · GUARDED
New Zealand ▲ 4
18.6 → 22.6 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (185)

#CountryRegionRiskΔTierCyberSanctionsWantedRule of LawCorruptionDisplaced
1 Russia Europe 71 — CRITICAL 798 6 — -0.80 — 1.6M
2 Syria Asia 50.2 — ELEVATED 43 — — -1.80 — 6.4M
3 Venezuela Americas 49.8 — ELEVATED 19 — — -2.10 — 6.1M
4 Iran Asia 48.5 — ELEVATED 132 — — -1.00 — 4M
5 Pakistan Asia 47.8 — ELEVATED 292 — — -0.60 — 2.2M
6 Ukraine Europe 47.5 — ELEVATED 189 — — -0.55 — 6M
7 Bangladesh Asia 46.2 — ELEVATED 183 — — -0.65 — 1M
8 China Asia 45.8 — ELEVATED 954 — — -0.15 — 130K
9 United States Americas 45.2 — ELEVATED 5.5K — — 1.42 — 3M
10 India Asia 45.1 — ELEVATED 766 — — 0.02 — 277K
11 Brazil Americas 44.8 — ELEVATED 382 — — -0.25 — 303.9K
12 Nigeria Africa 44.2 — ELEVATED 55 — — -0.90 — 695.6K
13 Turkey Asia 44 — ELEVATED 81 — — -0.35 — 3.6M
14 Somalia Africa 43.3 — ELEVATED 1 — — -2.30 — 868.3K
15 Libya Africa 42.8 — ELEVATED 6 — — -1.90 — 166.7K
16 Vietnam Asia 42.8 — ELEVATED 252 — — -0.02 — 330K
17 Myanmar Asia 42.6 — ELEVATED 8 — — -1.35 — 1.3M
18 Mexico Americas 42.5 — ELEVATED 65 — — -0.55 — 492.2K
19 Iraq Asia 42.1 — ELEVATED 12 — — -1.20 — 649.1K
20 Estonia Europe 41.3 — ELEVATED 45 2 — 1.30 — 42.4K
21 Latvia Europe 41.3 — ELEVATED 19 2 — 0.92 — 46.3K
22 Colombia Americas 41.2 — ELEVATED 63 — — -0.30 — 499.6K
23 DR Congo Africa 40.8 — ELEVATED 1 — — -1.60 — 2.6M
24 Yemen Asia 40.6 — ELEVATED 2 — — -1.90 — 150.8K
25 Haiti Americas 40.4 — ELEVATED 5 — — -1.70 — 60K
26 North Korea Asia 40.3 — ELEVATED — 6 — -1.55 — —
27 Cameroon Africa 40 — ELEVATED 6 — — -1.10 — 625.6K
28 Kenya Africa 40 — ELEVATED 24 — — -0.45 — 691.8K
29 Hong Kong Asia 39.8 — GUARDED 185 1 — — — 301
30 Peru Americas 39.8 — GUARDED 20 — — -0.55 — 515.1K
31 Italy Europe 39.5 — GUARDED 127 — — 0.35 — 445.2K
32 Uzbekistan Asia 39.1 — GUARDED 49 — — -0.75 — 9.4K
33 Poland Europe 38.8 — GUARDED 85 — — 0.45 — 978.5K
34 United Kingdom Europe 38.5 — GUARDED 805 — — 1.50 — 586.8K
35 Belarus Europe 38.3 ▲4.8 GUARDED 14 — — -0.90 — 40.4K
36 Thailand Asia 38.3 — GUARDED 72 — — 0.02 — 89K
37 Ecuador Americas 38 — GUARDED 17 — — -0.65 — 70.6K
38 France Europe 37.9 — GUARDED 402 — — 1.33 — 744K
39 Burundi Africa 37.8 — GUARDED 2 — — -1.15 — 397.5K
40 South Sudan Africa 37.7 — GUARDED — — — -2.20 — 2.7M
41 Romania Europe 37.6 — GUARDED 80 — — 0.20 — 88.6K
42 Nicaragua Americas 37.3 — GUARDED 1 — — -1.30 — 314.5K
43 South Africa Africa 37.2 — GUARDED 51 — — 0.05 — 78K
44 Germany Europe 37.1 — GUARDED 1.3K — — 1.62 — 71.3K
45 Mali Africa 37.1 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.95 — 564.1K
46 Afghanistan Asia 37 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 6.4M
47 Georgia Asia 36.9 — GUARDED 57 — — -0.05 — 27.1K
48 Greece Europe 36.9 — GUARDED 34 — — 0.12 — 225.1K
49 Chad Africa 36.8 ▲6.2 GUARDED 1 — — -1.40 — 110K
50 Canada Americas 36.7 — GUARDED 588 — — 1.66 — 433K
51 Argentina Americas 36.1 — GUARDED 41 — — -0.22 — 11.2K
52 Serbia Europe 35.8 — GUARDED 13 — — -0.15 — 183.6K
53 Sri Lanka Asia 35.6 — GUARDED 13 — — -0.20 — 120.6K
54 Egypt Africa 35.5 — GUARDED 14 — — -0.35 — 40K
55 United Arab Emirates Asia 35.4 — GUARDED 33 — — 0.55 — 472.8K
56 Armenia Asia 35.3 — GUARDED 8 — — -0.30 — 150.7K
57 Moldova Europe 35 — GUARDED 7 — — -0.35 — 121.5K
58 Albania Europe 34.9 — GUARDED 7 — — -0.35 — 107.3K
59 Morocco Africa 34.8 — GUARDED 11 — — -0.10 — 119.5K
60 Uganda Africa 34.6 ▲6.2 GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — 1.6M
61 Guatemala Americas 34.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.90 — 140K
62 Kazakhstan Asia 34.2 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.45 — 43.2K
63 Burkina Faso Africa 33.9 — GUARDED 69 — — — — 60K
64 Jordan Asia 33.5 — GUARDED 3 — — -0.05 — 723.8K
65 Turkmenistan Asia 33.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -1.40 — 3.6K
66 Central African Republic Africa 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 750K
67 Azerbaijan Asia 33.3 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.65 — 5.9K
68 Indonesia Asia 33.1 — GUARDED 402 — — -0.30 — —
69 Dominican Republic Americas 33 — GUARDED 11 — — -0.35 — 5K
70 South Korea Asia 33 — GUARDED 130 — — 1.15 — 30.8K
71 El Salvador Americas 33 ▲6.2 GUARDED 1 — — -0.75 — 60K
72 Eritrea Africa 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.50 — 580.1K
73 Australia Oceania 32.5 — GUARDED 113 — — 1.68 — 413K
74 Bolivia Americas 32.5 ▲8 GUARDED 4 — — -0.85 — 2.1K
75 Sudan Africa 32.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 1.1M
76 Sweden Europe 32.3 — GUARDED 193 — — 1.88 — 248.9K
77 Hungary Europe 32.1 — GUARDED 14 — — 0.42 — 63.2K
78 Czechia Europe 31.9 — GUARDED 23 — — 1.02 — 378.4K
79 Belgium Europe 31.7 — GUARDED 52 — — 1.35 — 212.4K
80 Finland Europe 31.6 — GUARDED 252 — — 1.97 — 97.3K
81 Lithuania Europe 31.5 — GUARDED 33 — — 0.98 — 80.6K
82 Switzerland Europe 31.3 — GUARDED 81 — — 1.95 — 1.1M
83 Japan Asia 31.2 — GUARDED 120 — — 1.55 — 46.3K
84 Croatia Europe 31.1 — GUARDED 11 — — 0.35 — 26.6K
85 Ghana Africa 30.2 — GUARDED 5 — — 0.02 — 11.3K
86 Saudi Arabia Asia 30 — GUARDED 10 — — 0.20 — 4.8K
87 Slovakia Europe 29.9 — GUARDED 5 — — 0.55 — 127K
88 Ethiopia Africa 29.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.70 — 1.2M
89 Honduras Americas 29.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 250K
90 Tunisia Africa 28.9 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 15.1K
91 Chile Americas 28.6 — GUARDED 20 — — 1.00 — 15K
92 Cyprus Asia 28.5 — GUARDED 7 — — 0.85 — 70.7K
93 Cambodia Asia 28.2 — GUARDED 13 — — -0.95 — —
94 Senegal Africa 28.2 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.10 — 12.6K
95 Cuba Americas 27.6 ▲6.2 GUARDED 1 — — -0.80 — 161
96 Israel Asia 27.6 — GUARDED 10 — — 1.00 — 26.7K
97 Nepal Asia 27.5 — GUARDED 32 — — -0.40 — —
98 Tajikistan Asia 27.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 11.5K
99 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe 27.1 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.35 — 391
100 Bulgaria Europe 26.6 — GUARDED 58 — — 0.08 — —
101 Philippines Asia 26.4 — GUARDED 26 — — — — 2K
102 Zimbabwe Africa 26.4 — GUARDED 3 — — -1.20 — —
103 Oman Asia 25.7 — GUARDED 4 — — 0.30 — 721
104 Norway Europe 25 — GUARDED 16 — — 2.00 — 108.6K
105 Algeria Africa 24.4 — GUARDED 5 — — -0.60 — —
106 Rwanda Africa 24.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.10 — 378.3K
107 Slovenia Europe 24.1 ▲7.2 GUARDED 3 — — 1.05 — 11.7K
108 Mauritius Africa 23.9 — GUARDED 93 — — 0.83 — —
109 Netherlands Europe 23.5 — GUARDED 564 — — 1.80 — —
110 Montenegro Europe 23.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 64.9K
111 Malaysia Asia 23.4 — GUARDED 33 — — 0.45 — —
112 Singapore Asia 22.9 — GUARDED 466 — — 1.82 — —
113 Luxembourg Europe 22.8 — GUARDED 8 — — 1.78 — 17.5K
114 New Zealand Oceania 22.8 ▲4 GUARDED 18 — — 1.85 — 3.7K
115 Benin Africa 22.6 — GUARDED 3 — — — — 13K
116 Tanzania Africa 22.6 — GUARDED 3 — — -0.45 — —
117 Spain Europe 22.5 — GUARDED 67 — — 0.95 — —
118 North Macedonia Europe 22.4 ▲8.9 GUARDED 5 — — -0.20 — —
119 Paraguay Americas 22.4 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.55 — —
120 Zambia Africa 22.1 ▲7.9 GUARDED 3 — — -0.35 — —
121 Kyrgyzstan Asia 21.4 — GUARDED 1 — — — — 29K
122 Qatar Asia 21 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.65 — 337
123 Taiwan Asia 20.4 — GUARDED 51 — — 1.25 — —
124 Liberia Africa 20.1 — GUARDED 3 — — — — 1.8K
125 Namibia Africa 20 — GUARDED — — — 0.20 — 7.1K
126 Costa Rica Americas 19.8 — LOW 10 — — 0.62 — —
127 Austria Europe 19.1 — LOW 86 — — 1.76 — —
128 French Guiana Americas 19 — LOW — — — — — 3M
129 Botswana Africa 17.8 ▲7.9 LOW 3 — — 0.52 — —
130 Bahamas Americas 17.4 — LOW 2 — — — — 460
131 Malta Europe 17 — LOW — — — 0.90 — 12.6K
132 Ireland Europe 16.5 — LOW 18 — — 1.53 — —
133 Laos Asia 16.3 — LOW — — — -0.75 — —
134 Niger Africa 16.1 — LOW — — — — — 301.6K
135 Uruguay Americas 16.1 — LOW 5 — — 1.05 — —
136 Portugal Europe 15.4 — LOW 4 — — 1.10 — —
137 Denmark Europe 13.4 — LOW 10 — — 1.90 — —
138 Tonga Oceania 13.3 — LOW — — — — — 32.6K
139 Djibouti Africa 13.2 — LOW — — — — — 31.5K
140 Jamaica Americas 13 — LOW — — — -0.10 — —
141 Mozambique Africa 12.8 — LOW — — — — — 23.6K
142 Monaco Europe 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19K
143 Macao Asia 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19.6K
144 Panama Americas 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 18.7K
145 Eswatini Africa 12.3 — LOW 6 — — — — —
146 Papua New Guinea Oceania 12.2 — LOW — — — — — 13.8K
147 Kuwait Asia 12 — LOW — — — 0.10 — —
148 Iceland Europe 11.8 ▲7.9 LOW 3 — — 1.72 — —
149 Palestine Asia 11.8 — LOW 5 — — — — —
150 Congo Africa 11.2 — LOW 4 — — — — —
151 Cote d'Ivoire Africa 11.2 — LOW 4 — — — — —
152 Puerto Rico Americas 11.2 — LOW 4 — — — — —
153 Kosovo Europe 11.2 — LOW 4 — — — — —
154 Guam Oceania 10.9 — LOW — — — — — 5.3K
155 Gabon Africa 10.7 — LOW — — — — — 4.5K
156 Malawi Africa 10.5 — LOW 3 — — — — —
157 Suriname Americas 10.1 — LOW — — — — — 2.7K
158 Belize Americas 9.8 — LOW — — — — — 2.2K
159 Gambia Africa 9.6 — LOW 2 — — — — —
160 Cabo Verde Africa 8.8 — LOW — — — 0.75 — —
161 Andorra Europe 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
162 Angola Africa 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
163 American Samoa Oceania 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
164 Aruba Americas 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
165 Bahrain Asia 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
166 Grenada Americas 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
167 Guadeloupe Americas 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
168 Isle of Man Europe 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
169 Jersey Europe 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
170 Lebanon Asia 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
171 Mauritania Africa 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
172 Seychelles Africa 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
173 Togo Africa 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
174 Timor-Leste Asia 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
175 Trinidad and Tobago Americas 8.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
176 Liechtenstein Europe 8.2 — LOW — — — — — 607
177 Sint Maarten Americas 6.2 — LOW — — — — — 133
178 Guyana Americas 5.6 — LOW — — — — — 82
179 Guinea-Bissau Africa 5.1 — LOW — — — — — 54
180 Sao Tome and Principe Africa 3.8 — LOW — — — — — 19
181 Nauru Oceania 3.4 — LOW — — — — — 13
182 Mongolia Asia 3.1 — LOW — — — — — 10
183 Turks and Caicos Islands Americas 2.7 — LOW — — — — — 7
184 Saint Lucia Americas 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5
185 Vatican City Europe 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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