Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

168
with risk signals

Critical

1
score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains
cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻
UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-08-21 → 2026-08-22)

Burkina Faso ▲ 18.2
14.0 → 32.2 · GUARDED
Peru ▲ 9.1
27.8 → 36.9 · GUARDED
Ecuador ▲ 6.8
26.4 → 33.2 · GUARDED
Ireland ▲ 6.7
4.9 → 11.6 · LOW
Australia ▲ 2.6
25.6 → 28.2 · GUARDED
Venezuela ▲ 2.2
44.8 → 47.0 · ELEVATED
Bangladesh ▲ 1.1
38.8 → 39.9 · GUARDED
Bulgaria ▲ 1
20.2 → 21.2 · GUARDED
Costa Rica ▲ 1
17.5 → 18.5 · LOW
Chile ▲ 0.7
25.8 → 26.5 · GUARDED
Taiwan ▲ 0.6
18.0 → 18.6 · LOW
Sweden ▲ 0.4
28.0 → 28.4 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (168)

#CountryRegionRiskΔTierCyberSanctionsWantedRule of LawCorruptionDisplaced
1 Russia Europe 68.3 — CRITICAL 63 6 — -0.80 — 1.6M
2 Venezuela Americas 47.7 ▲2.2 ELEVATED 4 — — -2.10 — 6.1M
3 United States Americas 45.2 — ELEVATED 606 — — 1.42 — 3M
4 Nigeria Africa 44.3 — ELEVATED 20 — — -0.90 — 695.6K
5 Ukraine Europe 44.3 — ELEVATED 18 — — -0.55 — 6M
6 Pakistan Asia 44.1 — ELEVATED 21 — — -0.60 — 2.2M
7 China Asia 44 — ELEVATED 96 — — -0.15 — 130K
8 Turkey Asia 42.8 — ELEVATED 18 — — -0.35 — 3.6M
9 India Asia 42.4 — ELEVATED 60 — — 0.02 — 277K
10 Libya Africa 41.6 — ELEVATED 2 — — -1.90 — 166.7K
11 Bangladesh Asia 41.3 ▲1.1 ELEVATED 10 — — -0.65 — 1M
12 North Korea Asia 40.3 — ELEVATED — 6 — -1.55 — —
13 Iran Asia 40.2 — ELEVATED 2 — — -1.00 — 4M
14 Cameroon Africa 39.8 — GUARDED 3 — — -1.10 — 625.6K
15 Estonia Europe 39.5 — GUARDED 9 2 — 1.30 — 42.4K
16 Brazil Americas 39.2 — GUARDED 14 — — -0.25 — 303.9K
17 Vietnam Asia 38.7 — GUARDED 17 — — -0.02 — 330K
18 Kenya Africa 38.5 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.45 — 691.8K
19 South Sudan Africa 37.7 — GUARDED — — — -2.20 — 2.7M
20 Italy Europe 37.2 — GUARDED 17 — — 0.35 — 445.2K
21 Somalia Africa 37.1 — GUARDED — — — -2.30 — 868.3K
22 Afghanistan Asia 37 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 6.4M
23 Hong Kong Asia 37 — GUARDED 25 1 — — — 301
24 Colombia Americas 36.9 — GUARDED 5 — — -0.30 — 499.6K
25 Peru Americas 36.9 ▲9.1 GUARDED 3 — — -0.55 — 515.1K
26 United Kingdom Europe 36.5 — GUARDED 77 — — 1.50 — 586.8K
27 Syria Asia 36.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.80 — 6.4M
28 Latvia Europe 36.2 — GUARDED 1 2 — 0.92 — 46.3K
29 Germany Europe 35.5 — GUARDED 129 — — 1.62 — 71.3K
30 South Africa Africa 35.4 — GUARDED 10 — — 0.05 — 78K
31 Guatemala Americas 35.1 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.90 — 140K
32 Poland Europe 35.1 — GUARDED 8 — — 0.45 — 978.5K
33 Egypt Africa 34.8 — GUARDED 5 — — -0.35 — 40K
34 DR Congo Africa 34.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 2.6M
35 Canada Americas 33.9 — GUARDED 48 — — 1.66 — 433K
36 Moldova Europe 33.6 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.35 — 121.5K
37 Armenia Asia 33.5 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.30 — 150.7K
38 Central African Republic Africa 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 750K
39 France Europe 33.4 — GUARDED 21 — — 1.33 — 744K
40 Yemen Asia 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 150.8K
41 Romania Europe 33.3 — GUARDED 6 — — 0.20 — 88.6K
42 Ecuador Americas 33.2 ▲6.8 GUARDED 1 — — -0.65 — 70.6K
43 Morocco Africa 33.2 — GUARDED 3 — — -0.10 — 119.5K
44 Burkina Faso Africa 32.9 ▲18.2 GUARDED 18 — — — — 60K
45 Eritrea Africa 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.50 — 580.1K
46 Myanmar Asia 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.35 — 1.3M
47 Sudan Africa 32.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 1.1M
48 Azerbaijan Asia 32.2 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.65 — 5.9K
49 Uzbekistan Asia 31.8 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.75 — 9.4K
50 Kazakhstan Asia 31.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — 43.2K
51 Haiti Americas 31.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.70 — 60K
52 Sri Lanka Asia 31.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 120.6K
53 Thailand Asia 31.4 — GUARDED 2 — — 0.02 — 89K
54 Iraq Asia 31.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 649.1K
55 Nicaragua Americas 31.1 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 314.5K
56 Argentina Americas 30.6 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.22 — 11.2K
57 Burundi Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.15 — 397.5K
58 Chad Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 110K
59 Dominican Republic Americas 30.5 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.35 — 5K
60 United Arab Emirates Asia 30.4 — GUARDED 2 — — 0.55 — 472.8K
61 South Korea Asia 30.2 — GUARDED 15 — — 1.15 — 30.8K
62 Mali Africa 29.9 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 564.1K
63 Lithuania Europe 29.7 — GUARDED 7 — — 0.98 — 80.6K
64 Tunisia Africa 29.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 15.1K
65 Ethiopia Africa 29.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.70 — 1.2M
66 Indonesia Asia 29.4 — GUARDED 27 — — -0.30 — —
67 Georgia Asia 29.3 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.05 — 27.1K
68 Belgium Europe 29.2 — GUARDED 8 — — 1.35 — 212.4K
69 Finland Europe 29.1 — GUARDED 27 — — 1.97 — 97.3K
70 Honduras Americas 29.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 250K
71 Senegal Africa 28.8 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.10 — 12.6K
72 Czechia Europe 28.7 — GUARDED 3 — — 1.02 — 378.4K
73 Switzerland Europe 28.4 — GUARDED 10 — — 1.95 — 1.1M
74 Sweden Europe 28.4 ▲0.4 GUARDED 14 — — 1.88 — 248.9K
75 Uganda Africa 28.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.45 — 1.6M
76 Australia Oceania 28.2 ▲2.6 GUARDED 8 — — 1.68 — 413K
77 Mexico Americas 27.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.55 — 492.2K
78 Japan Asia 27.4 — GUARDED 10 — — 1.55 — 46.3K
79 Tajikistan Asia 27.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 11.5K
80 Croatia Europe 27.3 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.35 — 26.6K
81 Turkmenistan Asia 27.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 3.6K
82 Belarus Europe 27.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.90 — 40.4K
83 El Salvador Americas 26.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.75 — 60K
84 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe 26.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.35 — 391
85 Chile Americas 26.5 ▲0.7 GUARDED 4 — — 1.00 — 15K
86 Cyprus Asia 25.7 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.85 — 70.7K
87 Jordan Asia 25.7 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 723.8K
88 Albania Europe 25.3 — GUARDED — — — -0.35 — 107.3K
89 Serbia Europe 24.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.15 — 183.6K
90 Rwanda Africa 24.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.10 — 378.3K
91 Bolivia Americas 24 — GUARDED — — — -0.85 — 2.1K
92 Greece Europe 23.7 — GUARDED — — — 0.12 — 225.1K
93 Algeria Africa 23.6 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.60 — —
94 Montenegro Europe 23.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 64.9K
95 Benin Africa 22.9 — GUARDED 2 — — — — 13K
96 Netherlands Europe 22.7 — GUARDED 87 — — 1.80 — —
97 Norway Europe 21.7 — GUARDED 2 — — 2.00 — 108.6K
98 Tanzania Africa 21.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — —
99 Cuba Americas 21.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.80 — 161
100 Spain Europe 21.3 — GUARDED 15 — — 0.95 — —
101 Ghana Africa 21.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.02 — 11.3K
102 Bulgaria Europe 21.1 ▲1 GUARDED 3 — — 0.08 — —
103 Hungary Europe 21 — GUARDED — — — 0.42 — 63.2K
104 Luxembourg Europe 21 — GUARDED 2 — — 1.78 — 17.5K
105 Slovakia Europe 21 — GUARDED — — — 0.55 — 127K
106 Namibia Africa 20 — GUARDED — — — 0.20 — 7.1K
107 Singapore Asia 20 — GUARDED 39 — — 1.82 — —
108 Saudi Arabia Asia 19.6 — LOW — — — 0.20 — 4.8K
109 Malaysia Asia 19.3 — LOW 3 — — 0.45 — —
110 French Guiana Americas 19 — LOW — — — — — 3M
111 Taiwan Asia 18.6 ▲0.6 LOW 10 — — 1.25 — —
112 Zimbabwe Africa 18.5 — LOW — — — -1.20 — —
113 Costa Rica Americas 18.4 ▲1 LOW 3 — — 0.62 — —
114 Mauritius Africa 17.4 — LOW 3 — — 0.83 — —
115 Israel Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 1.00 — 26.7K
116 Cambodia Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — -0.95 — —
117 Oman Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 0.30 — 721
118 Malta Europe 17 — LOW — — — 0.90 — 12.6K
119 Austria Europe 16.6 — LOW 12 — — 1.76 — —
120 Laos Asia 16.3 — LOW — — — -0.75 — —
121 Slovenia Europe 16.2 — LOW — — — 1.05 — 11.7K
122 Niger Africa 16.1 — LOW — — — — — 301.6K
123 Paraguay Americas 15.3 — LOW — — — -0.55 — —
124 Qatar Asia 14.8 — LOW — — — 0.65 — 337
125 Nepal Asia 14.5 — LOW — — — -0.40 — —
126 Zambia Africa 14.3 — LOW — — — -0.35 — —
127 Uruguay Americas 14 — LOW 1 — — 1.05 — —
128 Portugal Europe 13.8 — LOW 1 — — 1.10 — —
129 North Macedonia Europe 13.5 — LOW — — — -0.20 — —
130 Tonga Oceania 13.3 — LOW — — — — — 32.6K
131 Djibouti Africa 13.2 — LOW — — — — — 31.5K
132 Kyrgyzstan Asia 13.1 — LOW — — — — — 29K
133 Jamaica Americas 13 — LOW — — — -0.10 — —
134 Mozambique Africa 12.8 — LOW — — — — — 23.6K
135 Monaco Europe 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19K
136 Macao Asia 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19.6K
137 Panama Americas 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 18.7K
138 Papua New Guinea Oceania 12.2 — LOW — — — — — 13.8K
139 Congo Africa 12.1 — LOW 3 — — — — —
140 Eswatini Africa 12.1 — LOW 3 — — — — —
141 Kuwait Asia 12 — LOW — — — 0.10 — —
142 Ireland Europe 11.6 ▲6.7 LOW 1 — — 1.53 — —
143 New Zealand Oceania 11.1 — LOW — — — 1.85 — 3.7K
144 Guam Oceania 10.9 — LOW — — — — — 5.3K
145 Gabon Africa 10.7 — LOW — — — — — 4.5K
146 Suriname Americas 10.1 — LOW — — — — — 2.7K
147 Botswana Africa 9.9 — LOW — — — 0.52 — —
148 Belize Americas 9.8 — LOW — — — — — 2.2K
149 Denmark Europe 9.8 — LOW 1 — — 1.90 — —
150 Philippines Asia 9.7 — LOW — — — — — 2K
151 Liberia Africa 9.6 — LOW — — — — — 1.8K
152 Angola Africa 9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
153 Cote d'Ivoire Africa 9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
154 Malawi Africa 9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
155 Puerto Rico Americas 9 — LOW 1 — — — — —
156 Cabo Verde Africa 8.8 — LOW — — — 0.75 — —
157 Liechtenstein Europe 8.2 — LOW — — — — — 607
158 Bahamas Americas 7.8 — LOW — — — — — 460
159 Sint Maarten Americas 6.2 — LOW — — — — — 133
160 Guyana Americas 5.6 — LOW — — — — — 82
161 Guinea-Bissau Africa 5.1 — LOW — — — — — 54
162 Iceland Europe 3.9 — LOW — — — 1.72 — —
163 Sao Tome and Principe Africa 3.8 — LOW — — — — — 19
164 Nauru Oceania 3.4 — LOW — — — — — 13
165 Mongolia Asia 3.1 — LOW — — — — — 10
166 Turks and Caicos Islands Americas 2.7 — LOW — — — — — 7
167 Saint Lucia Americas 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5
168 Vatican City Europe 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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