Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

167

with risk signals

Critical

score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains

cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻

UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-08-13 → 2026-08-14)

Venezuela ▲ 7.4

38.0 → 45.4 · ELEVATED

Vietnam ▲ 2.3

35.1 → 37.4 · GUARDED

United Kingdom ▲ 0.7

33.1 → 33.8 · GUARDED

Sweden ▲ 0.7

28.8 → 29.5 · GUARDED

China ▼ 0.3

46.6 → 46.3 · ELEVATED

Finland ▲ 0.3

27.9 → 28.2 · GUARDED

Netherlands ▼ 0.3

22.9 → 22.6 · GUARDED

Russia ▼ 0.2

64.0 → 63.8 · ELEVATED

Nigeria ▼ 0.2

45.9 → 45.7 · ELEVATED

India ▼ 0.2

42.0 → 41.8 · ELEVATED

Brazil ▼ 0.2

39.7 → 39.5 · GUARDED

Romania ▼ 0.2

35.2 → 35.0 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (167)

#	Country	Region	Risk	Δ	Tier	Cyber	Sanctions	Wanted	Rule of Law	Corruption	Displaced
1	Russia	Europe	63.7	▼0.2	ELEVATED	8	6	—	-0.80	—	1.6M
2	China	Asia	46.1	▼0.3	ELEVATED	62	—	—	-0.15	—	130K
3	Ukraine	Europe	46.1	—	ELEVATED	15	—	—	-0.55	—	6M
4	Nigeria	Africa	45.5	▼0.2	ELEVATED	14	—	—	-0.90	—	695.6K
5	Venezuela	Americas	45.3	▲7.4	ELEVATED	1	—	—	-2.10	—	6.1M
6	United States	Americas	45.2	—	ELEVATED	164	—	—	1.42	—	3M
7	Pakistan	Asia	43.4	—	ELEVATED	9	—	—	-0.60	—	2.2M
8	Libya	Africa	42.5	—	ELEVATED	2	—	—	-1.90	—	166.7K
9	India	Asia	42.3	▼0.2	ELEVATED	25	—	—	0.02	—	277K
10	Turkey	Asia	41.7	—	ELEVATED	7	—	—	-0.35	—	3.6M
11	Cameroon	Africa	41	—	ELEVATED	3	—	—	-1.10	—	625.6K
12	North Korea	Asia	40.3	—	ELEVATED	—	6	—	-1.55	—	—
13	Kenya	Africa	40.1	—	ELEVATED	6	—	—	-0.45	—	691.8K
14	Brazil	Americas	39.4	▼0.2	GUARDED	8	—	—	-0.25	—	303.9K
15	Hong Kong	Asia	38.9	—	GUARDED	18	1	—	—	—	301
16	South Sudan	Africa	37.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-2.20	—	2.7M
17	Germany	Europe	37.6	—	GUARDED	78	—	—	1.62	—	71.3K
18	Vietnam	Asia	37.3	▲2.3	GUARDED	6	—	—	-0.02	—	330K
19	Somalia	Africa	37.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-2.30	—	868.3K
20	Afghanistan	Asia	37	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.90	—	6.4M
21	South Africa	Africa	37	—	GUARDED	9	—	—	0.05	—	78K
22	Latvia	Europe	36.8	—	GUARDED	1	2	—	0.92	—	46.3K
23	Italy	Europe	36.7	—	GUARDED	8	—	—	0.35	—	445.2K
24	Syria	Asia	36.5	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.80	—	6.4M
25	Bangladesh	Asia	36.3	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.65	—	1M
26	Guatemala	Americas	35.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.90	—	140K
27	Colombia	Americas	35.6	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.30	—	499.6K
28	Romania	Europe	34.9	▼0.2	GUARDED	6	—	—	0.20	—	88.6K
29	DR Congo	Africa	34.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	2.6M
30	United Kingdom	Europe	34.3	▲0.7	GUARDED	18	—	—	1.50	—	586.8K
31	Canada	Americas	33.4	—	GUARDED	19	—	—	1.66	—	433K
32	Central African Republic	Africa	33.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	750K
33	Egypt	Africa	33.4	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.35	—	40K
34	Yemen	Asia	33.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.90	—	150.8K
35	Eritrea	Africa	32.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.50	—	580.1K
36	Myanmar	Asia	32.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.35	—	1.3M
37	Poland	Europe	32.5	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	0.45	—	978.5K
38	Uzbekistan	Asia	32.4	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.75	—	9.4K
39	Sudan	Africa	32.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.30	—	1.1M
40	Iran	Asia	32.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.00	—	4M
41	France	Europe	31.8	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	1.33	—	744K
42	Haiti	Americas	31.5	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.70	—	60K
43	Azerbaijan	Asia	31.4	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.65	—	5.9K
44	Iraq	Asia	31.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.20	—	649.1K
45	Nicaragua	Americas	31.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.30	—	314.5K
46	Thailand	Asia	30.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.02	—	89K
47	Burundi	Africa	30.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.15	—	397.5K
48	South Korea	Asia	30.6	—	GUARDED	9	—	—	1.15	—	30.8K
49	Chad	Africa	30.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.40	—	110K
50	Tunisia	Africa	30.1	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.20	—	15.1K
51	Argentina	Americas	29.9	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.22	—	11.2K
52	Czechia	Europe	29.9	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	1.02	—	378.4K
53	Mali	Africa	29.9	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.95	—	564.1K
54	Finland	Europe	29.5	▲0.3	GUARDED	15	—	—	1.97	—	97.3K
55	Belgium	Europe	29.4	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	1.35	—	212.4K
56	Ethiopia	Africa	29.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.70	—	1.2M
57	Sweden	Europe	29.4	▲0.7	GUARDED	10	—	—	1.88	—	248.9K
58	Honduras	Americas	29.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.95	—	250K
59	Switzerland	Europe	28.6	—	GUARDED	6	—	—	1.95	—	1.1M
60	Uganda	Africa	28.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.45	—	1.6M
61	Croatia	Europe	27.9	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.35	—	26.6K
62	Mexico	Americas	27.8	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.55	—	492.2K
63	Peru	Americas	27.8	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.55	—	515.1K
64	Estonia	Europe	27.5	—	GUARDED	—	2	—	1.30	—	42.4K
65	Tajikistan	Asia	27.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.20	—	11.5K
66	Turkmenistan	Asia	27.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.40	—	3.6K
67	Belarus	Europe	27.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.90	—	40.4K
68	El Salvador	Americas	26.8	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.75	—	60K
69	Ecuador	Americas	26.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.65	—	70.6K
70	Lithuania	Europe	25.8	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.98	—	80.6K
71	Jordan	Asia	25.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.05	—	723.8K
72	Moldova	Europe	25.5	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.35	—	121.5K
73	Armenia	Asia	25.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.30	—	150.7K
74	Albania	Europe	25.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.35	—	107.3K
75	Kazakhstan	Asia	25	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.45	—	43.2K
76	Serbia	Europe	24.8	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.15	—	183.6K
77	Sri Lanka	Asia	24.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.20	—	120.6K
78	Algeria	Africa	24.5	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.60	—	—
79	Rwanda	Africa	24.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.10	—	378.3K
80	Morocco	Africa	24.2	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.10	—	119.5K
81	Bolivia	Americas	24	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.85	—	2.1K
82	Japan	Asia	24	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	1.55	—	46.3K
83	Australia	Oceania	23.8	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	1.68	—	413K
84	Greece	Europe	23.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.12	—	225.1K
85	Montenegro	Europe	23.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.05	—	64.9K
86	Netherlands	Europe	22.7	▼0.3	GUARDED	35	—	—	1.80	—	—
87	Georgia	Asia	22.5	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.05	—	27.1K
88	Dominican Republic	Americas	22.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.35	—	5K
89	United Arab Emirates	Asia	22.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.55	—	472.8K
90	Tanzania	Africa	22.1	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.45	—	—
91	Senegal	Africa	22	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.10	—	12.6K
92	Cuba	Americas	21.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.80	—	161
93	Indonesia	Asia	21.4	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.30	—	—
94	Ghana	Africa	21.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.02	—	11.3K
95	Hungary	Europe	21	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.42	—	63.2K
96	Singapore	Asia	21	—	GUARDED	23	—	—	1.82	—	—
97	Slovakia	Europe	21	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.55	—	127K
98	Norway	Europe	20.9	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	2.00	—	108.6K
99	Luxembourg	Europe	20.3	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	1.78	—	17.5K
100	Bosnia and Herzegovina	Europe	20	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.35	—	391
101	Namibia	Africa	20	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.20	—	7.1K
102	Saudi Arabia	Asia	19.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.20	—	4.8K
103	Bulgaria	Europe	19.5	—	LOW	1	—	—	0.08	—	—
104	Malaysia	Asia	19.3	—	LOW	2	—	—	0.45	—	—
105	French Guiana	Americas	19	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	3M
106	Cyprus	Asia	18.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.85	—	70.7K
107	Zimbabwe	Africa	18.5	—	LOW	—	—	—	-1.20	—	—
108	Israel	Asia	17.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.00	—	26.7K
109	Cambodia	Asia	17.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.95	—	—
110	Oman	Asia	17.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.30	—	721
111	Malta	Europe	17	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.90	—	12.6K
112	Chile	Americas	16.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.00	—	15K
113	Laos	Asia	16.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.75	—	—
114	Slovenia	Europe	16.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.05	—	11.7K
115	Niger	Africa	16.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	301.6K
116	Paraguay	Americas	15.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.55	—	—
117	Spain	Europe	15.1	—	LOW	1	—	—	0.95	—	—
118	Qatar	Asia	14.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.65	—	337
119	Nepal	Asia	14.5	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.40	—	—
120	Zambia	Africa	14.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.35	—	—
121	Burkina Faso	Africa	14	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	60K
122	Austria	Europe	13.9	—	LOW	3	—	—	1.76	—	—
123	Eswatini	Africa	13.6	—	LOW	3	—	—	—	—	—
124	North Macedonia	Europe	13.5	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.20	—	—
125	Tonga	Oceania	13.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	32.6K
126	Djibouti	Africa	13.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	31.5K
127	Kyrgyzstan	Asia	13.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	29K
128	Jamaica	Americas	13	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.10	—	—
129	Mozambique	Africa	12.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	23.6K
130	Monaco	Europe	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19K
131	Macao	Asia	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19.6K
132	Panama	Americas	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	18.7K
133	Papua New Guinea	Oceania	12.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13.8K
134	Benin	Africa	12.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13K
135	Kuwait	Asia	12	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.10	—	—
136	New Zealand	Oceania	11.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.85	—	3.7K
137	Guam	Oceania	10.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5.3K
138	Gabon	Africa	10.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	4.5K
139	Suriname	Americas	10.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.7K
140	Botswana	Africa	9.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.52	—	—
141	Angola	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
142	Belize	Americas	9.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.2K
143	Congo	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
144	Cote d'Ivoire	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
145	Malawi	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
146	Philippines	Asia	9.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2K
147	Liberia	Africa	9.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	1.8K
148	Costa Rica	Americas	9.4	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.62	—	—
149	Cabo Verde	Africa	8.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.75	—	—
150	Mauritius	Africa	8.4	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.83	—	—
151	Liechtenstein	Europe	8.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	607
152	Bahamas	Americas	7.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	460
153	Uruguay	Americas	7.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.05	—	—
154	Portugal	Europe	7	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.10	—	—
155	Taiwan	Asia	6.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.25	—	—
156	Sint Maarten	Americas	6.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	133
157	Guyana	Americas	5.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	82
158	Guinea-Bissau	Africa	5.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	54
159	Ireland	Europe	4.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.53	—	—
160	Iceland	Europe	3.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.72	—	—
161	Sao Tome and Principe	Africa	3.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19
162	Nauru	Oceania	3.4	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13
163	Mongolia	Asia	3.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	10
164	Denmark	Europe	3	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.90	—	—
165	Turks and Caicos Islands	Americas	2.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	7
166	Saint Lucia	Americas	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5
167	Vatican City	Europe	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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