Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

176

with risk signals

Critical

score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains

cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻

UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02)

Kyrgyzstan ▲ 8.5

13.1 → 21.6 · GUARDED

Nicaragua ▲ 6.4

31.1 → 37.5 · GUARDED

Qatar ▲ 6.4

14.8 → 21.2 · GUARDED

Myanmar ▲ 1.1

39.1 → 40.2 · ELEVATED

Saudi Arabia ▲ 1.1

26.0 → 27.1 · GUARDED

New Zealand ▲ 1.1

17.5 → 18.6 · LOW

Syria ▲ 1

49.4 → 50.4 · ELEVATED

Mexico ▲ 0.7

39.8 → 40.5 · ELEVATED

Burkina Faso ▲ 0.7

32.1 → 32.8 · GUARDED

Libya ▲ 0.5

41.8 → 42.3 · ELEVATED

Moldova ▲ 0.5

34.3 → 34.8 · GUARDED

Croatia ▲ 0.5

28.8 → 29.3 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (176)

#	Country	Region	Risk	Δ	Tier	Cyber	Sanctions	Wanted	Rule of Law	Corruption	Displaced
1	Russia	Europe	70.6	—	CRITICAL	436	6	—	-0.80	—	1.6M
2	Syria	Asia	50.4	▲1	ELEVATED	36	—	—	-1.80	—	6.4M
3	Venezuela	Americas	48.2	—	ELEVATED	8	—	—	-2.10	—	6.1M
4	Iran	Asia	48.1	—	ELEVATED	82	—	—	-1.00	—	4M
5	Pakistan	Asia	47.3	—	ELEVATED	161	—	—	-0.60	—	2.2M
6	Ukraine	Europe	45.9	—	ELEVATED	71	—	—	-0.55	—	6M
7	Bangladesh	Asia	45.5	—	ELEVATED	99	—	—	-0.65	—	1M
8	China	Asia	45.2	—	ELEVATED	475	—	—	-0.15	—	130K
9	United States	Americas	45.2	—	ELEVATED	3K	—	—	1.42	—	3M
10	India	Asia	45.1	—	ELEVATED	492	—	—	0.02	—	277K
11	Brazil	Americas	43.9	—	ELEVATED	178	—	—	-0.25	—	303.9K
12	Nigeria	Africa	43.8	—	ELEVATED	36	—	—	-0.90	—	695.6K
13	Turkey	Asia	43.6	—	ELEVATED	52	—	—	-0.35	—	3.6M
14	Somalia	Africa	43.4	—	ELEVATED	1	—	—	-2.30	—	868.3K
15	Libya	Africa	42.7	▲0.5	ELEVATED	5	—	—	-1.90	—	166.7K
16	Vietnam	Asia	42.5	—	ELEVATED	155	—	—	-0.02	—	330K
17	Mexico	Americas	40.9	▲0.7	ELEVATED	26	—	—	-0.55	—	492.2K
18	Latvia	Europe	40.7	—	ELEVATED	12	2	—	0.92	—	46.3K
19	North Korea	Asia	40.3	—	ELEVATED	—	6	—	-1.55	—	—
20	Estonia	Europe	40.2	—	ELEVATED	22	2	—	1.30	—	42.4K
21	Myanmar	Asia	40.1	▲1.1	ELEVATED	2	—	—	-1.35	—	1.3M
22	Cameroon	Africa	40	—	ELEVATED	5	—	—	-1.10	—	625.6K
23	Iraq	Asia	40	—	ELEVATED	4	—	—	-1.20	—	649.1K
24	Haiti	Americas	39.7	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-1.70	—	60K
25	Kenya	Africa	39.7	—	GUARDED	17	—	—	-0.45	—	691.8K
26	Yemen	Asia	39.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.90	—	150.8K
27	Hong Kong	Asia	38.7	—	GUARDED	95	1	—	—	—	301
28	Italy	Europe	38.7	—	GUARDED	65	—	—	0.35	—	445.2K
29	Colombia	Americas	38.6	—	GUARDED	17	—	—	-0.30	—	499.6K
30	Poland	Europe	38.5	—	GUARDED	56	—	—	0.45	—	978.5K
31	Thailand	Asia	38.5	—	GUARDED	58	—	—	0.02	—	89K
32	Burundi	Africa	38	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-1.15	—	397.5K
33	United Kingdom	Europe	37.8	—	GUARDED	386	—	—	1.50	—	586.8K
34	Peru	Americas	37.8	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	-0.55	—	515.1K
35	South Sudan	Africa	37.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-2.20	—	2.7M
36	Greece	Europe	37.5	—	GUARDED	34	—	—	0.12	—	225.1K
37	Nicaragua	Americas	37.4	▲6.4	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.30	—	314.5K
38	France	Europe	37.3	—	GUARDED	208	—	—	1.33	—	744K
39	Mali	Africa	37.3	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.95	—	564.1K
40	Romania	Europe	37.1	—	GUARDED	48	—	—	0.20	—	88.6K
41	Afghanistan	Asia	37	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.90	—	6.4M
42	Germany	Europe	37	—	GUARDED	760	—	—	1.62	—	71.3K
43	Ecuador	Americas	37	—	GUARDED	9	—	—	-0.65	—	70.6K
44	Georgia	Asia	37	—	GUARDED	45	—	—	-0.05	—	27.1K
45	Uzbekistan	Asia	36.9	—	GUARDED	16	—	—	-0.75	—	9.4K
46	South Africa	Africa	36.7	—	GUARDED	32	—	—	0.05	—	78K
47	Canada	Americas	36.2	—	GUARDED	313	—	—	1.66	—	433K
48	Sri Lanka	Asia	35.7	—	GUARDED	11	—	—	-0.20	—	120.6K
49	Egypt	Africa	35.6	—	GUARDED	12	—	—	-0.35	—	40K
50	Belarus	Europe	35.3	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-0.90	—	40.4K
51	Argentina	Americas	34.9	—	GUARDED	19	—	—	-0.22	—	11.2K
52	Serbia	Europe	34.8	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	-0.15	—	183.6K
53	Guatemala	Americas	34.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.90	—	140K
54	DR Congo	Africa	34.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	2.6M
55	Moldova	Europe	34.6	▲0.5	GUARDED	5	—	—	-0.35	—	121.5K
56	Morocco	Africa	34.4	—	GUARDED	8	—	—	-0.10	—	119.5K
57	United Arab Emirates	Asia	34.2	—	GUARDED	16	—	—	0.55	—	472.8K
58	Albania	Europe	34	—	GUARDED	4	—	—	-0.35	—	107.3K
59	Turkmenistan	Asia	33.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.40	—	3.6K
60	Armenia	Asia	33.5	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-0.30	—	150.7K
61	Burkina Faso	Africa	33.5	▲0.7	GUARDED	47	—	—	—	—	60K
62	Central African Republic	Africa	33.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	750K
63	Indonesia	Asia	33.1	—	GUARDED	267	—	—	-0.30	—	—
64	Eritrea	Africa	32.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.50	—	580.1K
65	Dominican Republic	Americas	32.6	—	GUARDED	8	—	—	-0.35	—	5K
66	South Korea	Asia	32.3	—	GUARDED	71	—	—	1.15	—	30.8K
67	Sudan	Africa	32.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.30	—	1.1M
68	Sweden	Europe	32.3	—	GUARDED	133	—	—	1.88	—	248.9K
69	Azerbaijan	Asia	32.2	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-0.65	—	5.9K
70	Jordan	Asia	32	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.05	—	723.8K
71	Australia	Oceania	31.6	—	GUARDED	57	—	—	1.68	—	413K
72	Kazakhstan	Asia	31.3	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.45	—	43.2K
73	Hungary	Europe	31.2	—	GUARDED	8	—	—	0.42	—	63.2K
74	Finland	Europe	31	—	GUARDED	135	—	—	1.97	—	97.3K
75	Japan	Asia	31	—	GUARDED	78	—	—	1.55	—	46.3K
76	Lithuania	Europe	30.9	—	GUARDED	20	—	—	0.98	—	80.6K
77	Switzerland	Europe	30.8	—	GUARDED	48	—	—	1.95	—	1.1M
78	Belgium	Europe	30.7	—	GUARDED	27	—	—	1.35	—	212.4K
79	Chad	Africa	30.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.40	—	110K
80	Czechia	Europe	30.2	—	GUARDED	9	—	—	1.02	—	378.4K
81	Slovakia	Europe	30.2	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	0.55	—	127K
82	Ethiopia	Africa	29.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.70	—	1.2M
83	Croatia	Europe	29.2	▲0.5	GUARDED	4	—	—	0.35	—	26.6K
84	Honduras	Americas	29.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.95	—	250K
85	Tunisia	Africa	29	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.20	—	15.1K
86	Uganda	Africa	28.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.45	—	1.6M
87	Senegal	Africa	28.3	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.10	—	12.6K
88	Cyprus	Asia	28.1	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	0.85	—	70.7K
89	Chile	Americas	27.9	—	GUARDED	12	—	—	1.00	—	15K
90	Cuba	Americas	27.7	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.80	—	161
91	Saudi Arabia	Asia	27.7	▲1.1	GUARDED	3	—	—	0.20	—	4.8K
92	Ghana	Africa	27.6	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.02	—	11.3K
93	Tajikistan	Asia	27.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.20	—	11.5K
94	El Salvador	Americas	26.8	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.75	—	60K
95	Cambodia	Asia	26.4	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	-0.95	—	—
96	Bosnia and Herzegovina	Europe	26.3	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.35	—	391
97	Bulgaria	Europe	26.3	—	GUARDED	40	—	—	0.08	—	—
98	Nepal	Asia	26.3	—	GUARDED	15	—	—	-0.40	—	—
99	Zimbabwe	Africa	25.9	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-1.20	—	—
100	Mauritius	Africa	24.7	—	GUARDED	93	—	—	0.83	—	—
101	Israel	Asia	24.6	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	1.00	—	26.7K
102	Norway	Europe	24.4	—	GUARDED	10	—	—	2.00	—	108.6K
103	Rwanda	Africa	24.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.10	—	378.3K
104	Bolivia	Americas	24	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.85	—	2.1K
105	Philippines	Asia	23.7	—	GUARDED	9	—	—	—	—	2K
106	Oman	Asia	23.6	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.30	—	721
107	Montenegro	Europe	23.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.05	—	64.9K
108	Netherlands	Europe	23	—	GUARDED	312	—	—	1.80	—	—
109	Algeria	Africa	22.9	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.60	—	—
110	Luxembourg	Europe	22.9	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	1.78	—	17.5K
111	Malaysia	Asia	22.6	—	GUARDED	19	—	—	0.45	—	—
112	Paraguay	Americas	22.6	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.55	—	—
113	Spain	Europe	22.4	—	GUARDED	47	—	—	0.95	—	—
114	Tanzania	Africa	22.1	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.45	—	—
115	Benin	Africa	21.9	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	—	—	13K
116	Singapore	Asia	21.9	—	GUARDED	209	—	—	1.82	—	—
117	Zambia	Africa	21.6	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.35	—	—
118	Kyrgyzstan	Asia	21.5	▲8.5	GUARDED	1	—	—	—	—	29K
119	Qatar	Asia	21.1	▲6.4	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.65	—	337
120	Taiwan	Asia	20.7	—	GUARDED	44	—	—	1.25	—	—
121	Liberia	Africa	20.4	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	—	—	1.8K
122	Namibia	Africa	20	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.20	—	7.1K
123	Costa Rica	Americas	19.9	—	LOW	9	—	—	0.62	—	—
124	New Zealand	Oceania	19.8	▲1.1	LOW	4	—	—	1.85	—	3.7K
125	Austria	Europe	19.4	—	LOW	71	—	—	1.76	—	—
126	French Guiana	Americas	19	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	3M
127	Malta	Europe	17	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.90	—	12.6K
128	Ireland	Europe	16.3	—	LOW	13	—	—	1.53	—	—
129	Laos	Asia	16.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.75	—	—
130	Bahamas	Americas	16.2	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	460
131	Slovenia	Europe	16.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.05	—	11.7K
132	Niger	Africa	16.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	301.6K
133	Uruguay	Americas	14.6	—	LOW	2	—	—	1.05	—	—
134	Denmark	Europe	13.5	—	LOW	9	—	—	1.90	—	—
135	North Macedonia	Europe	13.5	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.20	—	—
136	Portugal	Europe	13.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	1.10	—	—
137	Tonga	Oceania	13.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	32.6K
138	Djibouti	Africa	13.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	31.5K
139	Jamaica	Americas	13	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.10	—	—
140	Mozambique	Africa	12.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	23.6K
141	Monaco	Europe	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19K
142	Macao	Asia	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19.6K
143	Panama	Americas	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	18.7K
144	Papua New Guinea	Oceania	12.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13.8K
145	Kuwait	Asia	12	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.10	—	—
146	Congo	Africa	11.6	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
147	Eswatini	Africa	11.6	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
148	Guam	Oceania	10.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5.3K
149	Palestine	Asia	10.8	—	LOW	3	—	—	—	—	—
150	Gabon	Africa	10.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	4.5K
151	Suriname	Americas	10.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.7K
152	Botswana	Africa	9.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.52	—	—
153	Belize	Americas	9.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.2K
154	Cote d'Ivoire	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	—
155	Malawi	Africa	9.8	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	—
156	Puerto Rico	Americas	9.8	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	—
157	Kosovo	Europe	9.8	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	—
158	Cabo Verde	Africa	8.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.75	—	—
159	Angola	Africa	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
160	American Samoa	Oceania	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
161	Bahrain	Asia	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
162	Grenada	Americas	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
163	Gambia	Africa	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
164	Jersey	Europe	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
165	Lebanon	Asia	8.4	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
166	Liechtenstein	Europe	8.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	607
167	Sint Maarten	Americas	6.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	133
168	Guyana	Americas	5.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	82
169	Guinea-Bissau	Africa	5.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	54
170	Iceland	Europe	3.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	1.72	—	—
171	Sao Tome and Principe	Africa	3.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19
172	Nauru	Oceania	3.4	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13
173	Mongolia	Asia	3.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	10
174	Turks and Caicos Islands	Americas	2.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	7
175	Saint Lucia	Americas	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5
176	Vatican City	Europe	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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