Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

183

with risk signals

Critical

score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains

cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

Refresh

sync ↻

UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-09-01 → 2026-09-02)

Kyrgyzstan ▲ 8.5

13.1 → 21.6 · GUARDED

Nicaragua ▲ 6.4

31.1 → 37.5 · GUARDED

Qatar ▲ 6.4

14.8 → 21.2 · GUARDED

Myanmar ▲ 1.1

39.1 → 40.2 · ELEVATED

Saudi Arabia ▲ 1.1

26.0 → 27.1 · GUARDED

New Zealand ▲ 1.1

17.5 → 18.6 · LOW

Syria ▲ 1

49.4 → 50.4 · ELEVATED

Mexico ▲ 0.7

39.8 → 40.5 · ELEVATED

Burkina Faso ▲ 0.7

32.1 → 32.8 · GUARDED

Libya ▲ 0.5

41.8 → 42.3 · ELEVATED

Moldova ▲ 0.5

34.3 → 34.8 · GUARDED

Croatia ▲ 0.5

28.8 → 29.3 · GUARDED

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (183)

#	Country	Region	Risk	Δ	Tier	Cyber	Sanctions	Wanted	Rule of Law	Corruption	Displaced
1	Russia	Europe	70.9	—	CRITICAL	748	6	—	-0.80	—	1.6M
2	Syria	Asia	50.3	▲1	ELEVATED	43	—	—	-1.80	—	6.4M
3	Venezuela	Americas	49.6	—	ELEVATED	17	—	—	-2.10	—	6.1M
4	Iran	Asia	48.5	—	ELEVATED	126	—	—	-1.00	—	4M
5	Pakistan	Asia	47.8	—	ELEVATED	278	—	—	-0.60	—	2.2M
6	Ukraine	Europe	47.4	—	ELEVATED	176	—	—	-0.55	—	6M
7	Bangladesh	Asia	46.1	—	ELEVATED	169	—	—	-0.65	—	1M
8	China	Asia	45.7	—	ELEVATED	899	—	—	-0.15	—	130K
9	United States	Americas	45.2	—	ELEVATED	5.2K	—	—	1.42	—	3M
10	India	Asia	45.1	—	ELEVATED	736	—	—	0.02	—	277K
11	Brazil	Americas	44.8	—	ELEVATED	361	—	—	-0.25	—	303.9K
12	Nigeria	Africa	44.1	—	ELEVATED	52	—	—	-0.90	—	695.6K
13	Turkey	Asia	44	—	ELEVATED	80	—	—	-0.35	—	3.6M
14	Somalia	Africa	43.3	—	ELEVATED	1	—	—	-2.30	—	868.3K
15	Libya	Africa	42.8	▲0.5	ELEVATED	6	—	—	-1.90	—	166.7K
16	Vietnam	Asia	42.8	—	ELEVATED	245	—	—	-0.02	—	330K
17	Mexico	Americas	42.5	▲0.7	ELEVATED	62	—	—	-0.55	—	492.2K
18	Myanmar	Asia	42.3	▲1.1	ELEVATED	7	—	—	-1.35	—	1.3M
19	Iraq	Asia	41.9	—	ELEVATED	11	—	—	-1.20	—	649.1K
20	Estonia	Europe	41.1	—	ELEVATED	40	2	—	1.30	—	42.4K
21	Latvia	Europe	41.1	—	ELEVATED	17	2	—	0.92	—	46.3K
22	Colombia	Americas	40.8	—	ELEVATED	52	—	—	-0.30	—	499.6K
23	Yemen	Asia	40.6	—	ELEVATED	2	—	—	-1.90	—	150.8K
24	North Korea	Asia	40.3	—	ELEVATED	—	6	—	-1.55	—	—
25	Cameroon	Africa	40	—	ELEVATED	6	—	—	-1.10	—	625.6K
26	Haiti	Americas	40	—	ELEVATED	4	—	—	-1.70	—	60K
27	Peru	Americas	39.8	—	GUARDED	20	—	—	-0.55	—	515.1K
28	Kenya	Africa	39.7	—	GUARDED	21	—	—	-0.45	—	691.8K
29	Hong Kong	Asia	39.6	—	GUARDED	170	1	—	—	—	301
30	Italy	Europe	39.5	—	GUARDED	121	—	—	0.35	—	445.2K
31	Uzbekistan	Asia	39.1	—	GUARDED	48	—	—	-0.75	—	9.4K
32	Poland	Europe	38.8	—	GUARDED	83	—	—	0.45	—	978.5K
33	United Kingdom	Europe	38.5	—	GUARDED	755	—	—	1.50	—	586.8K
34	Belarus	Europe	38.3	—	GUARDED	14	—	—	-0.90	—	40.4K
35	Thailand	Asia	38.3	—	GUARDED	71	—	—	0.02	—	89K
36	Burundi	Africa	37.8	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-1.15	—	397.5K
37	France	Europe	37.8	—	GUARDED	371	—	—	1.33	—	744K
38	Ecuador	Americas	37.7	—	GUARDED	15	—	—	-0.65	—	70.6K
39	South Sudan	Africa	37.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-2.20	—	2.7M
40	Romania	Europe	37.6	—	GUARDED	77	—	—	0.20	—	88.6K
41	Nicaragua	Americas	37.3	▲6.4	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.30	—	314.5K
42	South Africa	Africa	37.2	—	GUARDED	50	—	—	0.05	—	78K
43	Germany	Europe	37.1	—	GUARDED	1.2K	—	—	1.62	—	71.3K
44	Mali	Africa	37.1	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.95	—	564.1K
45	Afghanistan	Asia	37	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.90	—	6.4M
46	Georgia	Asia	37	—	GUARDED	57	—	—	-0.05	—	27.1K
47	Greece	Europe	36.9	—	GUARDED	34	—	—	0.12	—	225.1K
48	Chad	Africa	36.8	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.40	—	110K
49	Canada	Americas	36.6	—	GUARDED	556	—	—	1.66	—	433K
50	Argentina	Americas	36.1	—	GUARDED	40	—	—	-0.22	—	11.2K
51	Serbia	Europe	35.8	—	GUARDED	13	—	—	-0.15	—	183.6K
52	Sri Lanka	Asia	35.7	—	GUARDED	13	—	—	-0.20	—	120.6K
53	Egypt	Africa	35.5	—	GUARDED	14	—	—	-0.35	—	40K
54	United Arab Emirates	Asia	35.3	—	GUARDED	31	—	—	0.55	—	472.8K
55	Moldova	Europe	35.1	▲0.5	GUARDED	7	—	—	-0.35	—	121.5K
56	Armenia	Asia	35	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	-0.30	—	150.7K
57	Albania	Europe	34.9	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	-0.35	—	107.3K
58	Morocco	Africa	34.8	—	GUARDED	11	—	—	-0.10	—	119.5K
59	DR Congo	Africa	34.6	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	2.6M
60	Uganda	Africa	34.6	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.45	—	1.6M
61	Guatemala	Americas	34.5	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.90	—	140K
62	Burkina Faso	Africa	34	▲0.7	GUARDED	69	—	—	—	—	60K
63	Kazakhstan	Asia	33.9	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	-0.45	—	43.2K
64	Turkmenistan	Asia	33.5	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-1.40	—	3.6K
65	Central African Republic	Africa	33.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.60	—	750K
66	Azerbaijan	Asia	33.3	—	GUARDED	6	—	—	-0.65	—	5.9K
67	Indonesia	Asia	33.2	—	GUARDED	391	—	—	-0.30	—	—
68	Dominican Republic	Americas	33	—	GUARDED	11	—	—	-0.35	—	5K
69	South Korea	Asia	33	—	GUARDED	124	—	—	1.15	—	30.8K
70	El Salvador	Americas	33	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.75	—	60K
71	Jordan	Asia	32.9	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.05	—	723.8K
72	Eritrea	Africa	32.7	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.50	—	580.1K
73	Australia	Oceania	32.4	—	GUARDED	105	—	—	1.68	—	413K
74	Sweden	Europe	32.4	—	GUARDED	191	—	—	1.88	—	248.9K
75	Sudan	Africa	32.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.30	—	1.1M
76	Hungary	Europe	32.1	—	GUARDED	14	—	—	0.42	—	63.2K
77	Bolivia	Americas	32	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-0.85	—	2.1K
78	Czechia	Europe	32	—	GUARDED	23	—	—	1.02	—	378.4K
79	Belgium	Europe	31.6	—	GUARDED	49	—	—	1.35	—	212.4K
80	Finland	Europe	31.6	—	GUARDED	234	—	—	1.97	—	97.3K
81	Lithuania	Europe	31.4	—	GUARDED	31	—	—	0.98	—	80.6K
82	Japan	Asia	31.2	—	GUARDED	113	—	—	1.55	—	46.3K
83	Croatia	Europe	31.1	▲0.5	GUARDED	11	—	—	0.35	—	26.6K
84	Switzerland	Europe	31	—	GUARDED	69	—	—	1.95	—	1.1M
85	Ghana	Africa	30.2	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	0.02	—	11.3K
86	Saudi Arabia	Asia	30	▲1.1	GUARDED	10	—	—	0.20	—	4.8K
87	Slovakia	Europe	29.9	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	0.55	—	127K
88	Ethiopia	Africa	29.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.70	—	1.2M
89	Honduras	Americas	29.1	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.95	—	250K
90	Tunisia	Africa	28.9	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.20	—	15.1K
91	Chile	Americas	28.7	—	GUARDED	20	—	—	1.00	—	15K
92	Cyprus	Asia	28.5	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	0.85	—	70.7K
93	Senegal	Africa	28.2	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.10	—	12.6K
94	Cambodia	Asia	28.1	—	GUARDED	12	—	—	-0.95	—	—
95	Cuba	Americas	27.6	—	GUARDED	1	—	—	-0.80	—	161
96	Nepal	Asia	27.5	—	GUARDED	31	—	—	-0.40	—	—
97	Tajikistan	Asia	27.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-1.20	—	11.5K
98	Bosnia and Herzegovina	Europe	27.2	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.35	—	391
99	Israel	Asia	26.9	—	GUARDED	7	—	—	1.00	—	26.7K
100	Bulgaria	Europe	26.4	—	GUARDED	54	—	—	0.08	—	—
101	Zimbabwe	Africa	26.4	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-1.20	—	—
102	Philippines	Asia	26.3	—	GUARDED	25	—	—	—	—	2K
103	Oman	Asia	25.8	—	GUARDED	4	—	—	0.30	—	721
104	Norway	Europe	24.9	—	GUARDED	15	—	—	2.00	—	108.6K
105	Algeria	Africa	24.4	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	-0.60	—	—
106	Rwanda	Africa	24.3	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.10	—	378.3K
107	Mauritius	Africa	24	—	GUARDED	93	—	—	0.83	—	—
108	Netherlands	Europe	23.5	—	GUARDED	547	—	—	1.80	—	—
109	Montenegro	Europe	23.4	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	-0.05	—	64.9K
110	Slovenia	Europe	23.4	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	1.05	—	11.7K
111	Malaysia	Asia	23.3	—	GUARDED	32	—	—	0.45	—	—
112	Singapore	Asia	22.9	—	GUARDED	445	—	—	1.82	—	—
113	Luxembourg	Europe	22.8	—	GUARDED	8	—	—	1.78	—	17.5K
114	Benin	Africa	22.6	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	—	—	13K
115	New Zealand	Oceania	22.6	▲1.1	GUARDED	16	—	—	1.85	—	3.7K
116	Spain	Europe	22.5	—	GUARDED	65	—	—	0.95	—	—
117	North Macedonia	Europe	22.4	—	GUARDED	5	—	—	-0.20	—	—
118	Paraguay	Americas	22.4	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.55	—	—
119	Zambia	Africa	22.2	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	-0.35	—	—
120	Tanzania	Africa	21.9	—	GUARDED	2	—	—	-0.45	—	—
121	Kyrgyzstan	Asia	21.4	▲8.5	GUARDED	1	—	—	—	—	29K
122	Qatar	Asia	21	▲6.4	GUARDED	1	—	—	0.65	—	337
123	Taiwan	Asia	20.4	—	GUARDED	50	—	—	1.25	—	—
124	Liberia	Africa	20.1	—	GUARDED	3	—	—	—	—	1.8K
125	Namibia	Africa	20	—	GUARDED	—	—	—	0.20	—	7.1K
126	Costa Rica	Americas	19.8	—	LOW	10	—	—	0.62	—	—
127	Austria	Europe	19.1	—	LOW	83	—	—	1.76	—	—
128	French Guiana	Americas	19	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	3M
129	Botswana	Africa	17.8	—	LOW	3	—	—	0.52	—	—
130	Bahamas	Americas	17.4	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	460
131	Malta	Europe	17	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.90	—	12.6K
132	Ireland	Europe	16.5	—	LOW	17	—	—	1.53	—	—
133	Laos	Asia	16.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.75	—	—
134	Uruguay	Americas	16.2	—	LOW	5	—	—	1.05	—	—
135	Niger	Africa	16.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	301.6K
136	Portugal	Europe	14.9	—	LOW	3	—	—	1.10	—	—
137	Denmark	Europe	13.4	—	LOW	10	—	—	1.90	—	—
138	Tonga	Oceania	13.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	32.6K
139	Djibouti	Africa	13.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	31.5K
140	Jamaica	Americas	13	—	LOW	—	—	—	-0.10	—	—
141	Mozambique	Africa	12.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	23.6K
142	Monaco	Europe	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19K
143	Macao	Asia	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19.6K
144	Panama	Americas	12.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	18.7K
145	Eswatini	Africa	12.4	—	LOW	6	—	—	—	—	—
146	Papua New Guinea	Oceania	12.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13.8K
147	Kuwait	Asia	12	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.10	—	—
148	Palestine	Asia	11.9	—	LOW	5	—	—	—	—	—
149	Iceland	Europe	11.8	—	LOW	3	—	—	1.72	—	—
150	Congo	Africa	11.3	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
151	Cote d'Ivoire	Africa	11.3	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
152	Puerto Rico	Americas	11.3	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
153	Kosovo	Europe	11.3	—	LOW	4	—	—	—	—	—
154	Guam	Oceania	10.9	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5.3K
155	Gabon	Africa	10.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	4.5K
156	Malawi	Africa	10.5	—	LOW	3	—	—	—	—	—
157	Suriname	Americas	10.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.7K
158	Belize	Americas	9.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	2.2K
159	Gambia	Africa	9.6	—	LOW	2	—	—	—	—	—
160	Cabo Verde	Africa	8.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	0.75	—	—
161	Andorra	Europe	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
162	Angola	Africa	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
163	American Samoa	Oceania	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
164	Aruba	Americas	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
165	Bahrain	Asia	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
166	Grenada	Americas	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
167	Guadeloupe	Americas	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
168	Isle of Man	Europe	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
169	Jersey	Europe	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
170	Lebanon	Asia	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
171	Togo	Africa	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
172	Timor-Leste	Asia	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
173	Trinidad and Tobago	Americas	8.3	—	LOW	1	—	—	—	—	—
174	Liechtenstein	Europe	8.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	607
175	Sint Maarten	Americas	6.2	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	133
176	Guyana	Americas	5.6	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	82
177	Guinea-Bissau	Africa	5.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	54
178	Sao Tome and Principe	Africa	3.8	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	19
179	Nauru	Oceania	3.4	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	13
180	Mongolia	Asia	3.1	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	10
181	Turks and Caicos Islands	Americas	2.7	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	7
182	Saint Lucia	Americas	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5
183	Vatican City	Europe	2.3	—	LOW	—	—	—	—	—	5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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