Country Risk Scoring

Scored countries

168
with risk signals

Critical

1
score ≥ 66

Data inputs

5 domains
cyber·sanctions·wanted·gov·displacement

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sync ↻
UNHCR + World Bank

🧩 Composite Model (transparent weights)

Cyber — 30%Sanctions — 20%Wanted — 10%Governance — 25%Corruption — 15%Displacement — 15%

Each signal is log-scaled and min-max normalised across all countries, then weighted. Governance uses World Bank Rule-of-Law (weak rule of law raises risk); if a country lacks a governance score its weight is dropped and the rest renormalised. Cyber blends indicator volume (70%) with peak threat score (30%).

📈 Top Movers (2026-08-14 → 2026-08-18)

Spain ▲ 12.4
7.8 → 20.2 · GUARDED
Taiwan ▲ 11.5
6.3 → 17.8 · LOW
Estonia ▲ 10.9
27.5 → 38.4 · GUARDED
Dominican Republic ▲ 8.5
22.4 → 30.9 · GUARDED
Chile ▲ 8.5
16.7 → 25.2 · GUARDED
Kazakhstan ▲ 7
25.0 → 32.0 · GUARDED
Morocco ▲ 7
24.2 → 31.2 · GUARDED
Denmark ▲ 7
3.0 → 10.0 · LOW
Indonesia ▲ 5.7
21.4 → 27.1 · GUARDED
Lithuania ▲ 4.6
25.8 → 30.4 · GUARDED
Russia ▲ 3.1
63.8 → 66.9 · CRITICAL
Congo ▲ 2.8
9.9 → 12.7 · LOW

Movement between the two most recent snapshots. Snapshots are written daily by cron (or snapshot-risk.php).

🔥 Risk League Table (168)

#CountryRegionRiskΔTierCyberSanctionsWantedRule of LawCorruptionDisplaced
1 Russia Europe 67 ▲3.1 CRITICAL 32 6 — -0.80 — 1.6M
2 United States Americas 45.2 — ELEVATED 381 — — 1.42 — 3M
3 Ukraine Europe 44.9 — ELEVATED 17 — — -0.55 — 6M
4 Venezuela Americas 44.9 — ELEVATED 1 — — -2.10 — 6.1M
5 Nigeria Africa 44.6 — ELEVATED 17 — — -0.90 — 695.6K
6 China Asia 44.5 — ELEVATED 78 — — -0.15 — 130K
7 Pakistan Asia 44.2 — ELEVATED 17 — — -0.60 — 2.2M
8 Libya Africa 41.9 — ELEVATED 2 — — -1.90 — 166.7K
9 India Asia 41.4 — ELEVATED 34 — — 0.02 — 277K
10 Turkey Asia 41 — ELEVATED 8 — — -0.35 — 3.6M
11 North Korea Asia 40.3 — ELEVATED — 6 — -1.55 — —
12 Cameroon Africa 40.2 — ELEVATED 3 — — -1.10 — 625.6K
13 Kenya Africa 39 — GUARDED 6 — — -0.45 — 691.8K
14 Brazil Americas 38.5 — GUARDED 9 — — -0.25 — 303.9K
15 Estonia Europe 38.3 ▲10.9 GUARDED 5 2 — 1.30 — 42.4K
16 Vietnam Asia 38 — GUARDED 11 — — -0.02 — 330K
17 Hong Kong Asia 37.9 — GUARDED 24 1 — — — 301
18 South Sudan Africa 37.7 — GUARDED — — — -2.20 — 2.7M
19 Somalia Africa 37.1 — GUARDED — — — -2.30 — 868.3K
20 Afghanistan Asia 37 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 6.4M
21 Italy Europe 36.8 — GUARDED 12 — — 0.35 — 445.2K
22 Syria Asia 36.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.80 — 6.4M
23 Latvia Europe 36.4 — GUARDED 1 2 — 0.92 — 46.3K
24 Bangladesh Asia 35.9 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.65 — 1M
25 Germany Europe 35.7 — GUARDED 94 — — 1.62 — 71.3K
26 South Africa Africa 35.7 — GUARDED 9 — — 0.05 — 78K
27 Guatemala Americas 35.3 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.90 — 140K
28 Colombia Americas 34.9 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.30 — 499.6K
29 DR Congo Africa 34.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 2.6M
30 United Kingdom Europe 34.5 — GUARDED 31 — — 1.50 — 586.8K
31 Poland Europe 34.3 — GUARDED 5 — — 0.45 — 978.5K
32 Egypt Africa 33.8 — GUARDED 3 — — -0.35 — 40K
33 Romania Europe 33.8 — GUARDED 6 — — 0.20 — 88.6K
34 Canada Americas 33.4 — GUARDED 31 — — 1.66 — 433K
35 Central African Republic Africa 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.60 — 750K
36 Yemen Asia 33.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.90 — 150.8K
37 Eritrea Africa 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.50 — 580.1K
38 Myanmar Asia 32.7 — GUARDED — — — -1.35 — 1.3M
39 France Europe 32.6 — GUARDED 13 — — 1.33 — 744K
40 Sudan Africa 32.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 1.1M
41 Iran Asia 32.1 — GUARDED — — — -1.00 — 4M
42 Uzbekistan Asia 32 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.75 — 9.4K
43 Kazakhstan Asia 31.9 ▲7 GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — 43.2K
44 Thailand Asia 31.7 — GUARDED 2 — — 0.02 — 89K
45 Haiti Americas 31.5 — GUARDED — — — -1.70 — 60K
46 Iraq Asia 31.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 649.1K
47 Morocco Africa 31.1 ▲7 GUARDED 1 — — -0.10 — 119.5K
48 Nicaragua Americas 31.1 — GUARDED — — — -1.30 — 314.5K
49 Azerbaijan Asia 31 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.65 — 5.9K
50 Dominican Republic Americas 30.8 ▲8.5 GUARDED 2 — — -0.35 — 5K
51 Burundi Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.15 — 397.5K
52 Chad Africa 30.6 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 110K
53 Lithuania Europe 30.3 ▲4.6 GUARDED 7 — — 0.98 — 80.6K
54 South Korea Asia 29.9 — GUARDED 11 — — 1.15 — 30.8K
55 Mali Africa 29.9 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 564.1K
56 Tunisia Africa 29.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.20 — 15.1K
57 Argentina Americas 29.5 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.22 — 11.2K
58 Ethiopia Africa 29.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.70 — 1.2M
59 Belgium Europe 29.3 — GUARDED 7 — — 1.35 — 212.4K
60 Indonesia Asia 29.3 ▲5.7 GUARDED 20 — — -0.30 — —
61 Czechia Europe 29.1 — GUARDED 3 — — 1.02 — 378.4K
62 Honduras Americas 29.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.95 — 250K
63 Senegal Africa 29 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.10 — 12.6K
64 Uganda Africa 28.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.45 — 1.6M
65 Sweden Europe 28.3 — GUARDED 11 — — 1.88 — 248.9K
66 Finland Europe 28.1 — GUARDED 16 — — 1.97 — 97.3K
67 Switzerland Europe 27.9 — GUARDED 7 — — 1.95 — 1.1M
68 Mexico Americas 27.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.55 — 492.2K
69 Peru Americas 27.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.55 — 515.1K
70 Croatia Europe 27.4 — GUARDED 1 — — 0.35 — 26.6K
71 Tajikistan Asia 27.4 — GUARDED — — — -1.20 — 11.5K
72 Turkmenistan Asia 27.3 — GUARDED — — — -1.40 — 3.6K
73 Belarus Europe 27.1 — GUARDED — — — -0.90 — 40.4K
74 Japan Asia 26.9 — GUARDED 7 — — 1.55 — 46.3K
75 El Salvador Americas 26.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.75 — 60K
76 Ecuador Americas 26.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.65 — 70.6K
77 Jordan Asia 25.7 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 723.8K
78 Moldova Europe 25.5 — GUARDED — — — -0.35 — 121.5K
79 Armenia Asia 25.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.30 — 150.7K
80 Albania Europe 25.3 — GUARDED — — — -0.35 — 107.3K
81 Chile Americas 25.1 ▲8.5 GUARDED 2 — — 1.00 — 15K
82 Australia Oceania 24.9 — GUARDED 2 — — 1.68 — 413K
83 Serbia Europe 24.8 — GUARDED — — — -0.15 — 183.6K
84 Sri Lanka Asia 24.7 — GUARDED — — — -0.20 — 120.6K
85 Rwanda Africa 24.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.10 — 378.3K
86 Bolivia Americas 24 — GUARDED — — — -0.85 — 2.1K
87 Algeria Africa 23.9 — GUARDED 2 — — -0.60 — —
88 Greece Europe 23.7 — GUARDED — — — 0.12 — 225.1K
89 Montenegro Europe 23.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 64.9K
90 Georgia Asia 22.5 — GUARDED — — — -0.05 — 27.1K
91 United Arab Emirates Asia 22.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.55 — 472.8K
92 Norway Europe 22 — GUARDED 2 — — 2.00 — 108.6K
93 Netherlands Europe 21.8 — GUARDED 49 — — 1.80 — —
94 Tanzania Africa 21.7 — GUARDED 1 — — -0.45 — —
95 Cuba Americas 21.4 — GUARDED — — — -0.80 — 161
96 Ghana Africa 21.3 — GUARDED — — — 0.02 — 11.3K
97 Luxembourg Europe 21.3 — GUARDED 2 — — 1.78 — 17.5K
98 Hungary Europe 21 — GUARDED — — — 0.42 — 63.2K
99 Slovakia Europe 21 — GUARDED — — — 0.55 — 127K
100 Spain Europe 20.4 ▲12.4 GUARDED 9 — — 0.95 — —
101 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe 20 — GUARDED — — — -0.35 — 391
102 Namibia Africa 20 — GUARDED — — — 0.20 — 7.1K
103 Malaysia Asia 19.6 — LOW 3 — — 0.45 — —
104 Saudi Arabia Asia 19.6 — LOW — — — 0.20 — 4.8K
105 Singapore Asia 19.5 — LOW 26 — — 1.82 — —
106 Bulgaria Europe 19 — LOW 1 — — 0.08 — —
107 French Guiana Americas 19 — LOW — — — — — 3M
108 Cyprus Asia 18.9 — LOW — — — 0.85 — 70.7K
109 Zimbabwe Africa 18.5 — LOW — — — -1.20 — —
110 Mauritius Africa 17.7 — LOW 3 — — 0.83 — —
111 Taiwan Asia 17.6 ▲11.5 LOW 6 — — 1.25 — —
112 Israel Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 1.00 — 26.7K
113 Cambodia Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — -0.95 — —
114 Oman Asia 17.3 — LOW — — — 0.30 — 721
115 Malta Europe 17 — LOW — — — 0.90 — 12.6K
116 Laos Asia 16.3 — LOW — — — -0.75 — —
117 Slovenia Europe 16.2 — LOW — — — 1.05 — 11.7K
118 Niger Africa 16.1 — LOW — — — — — 301.6K
119 Paraguay Americas 15.3 — LOW — — — -0.55 — —
120 Qatar Asia 14.8 — LOW — — — 0.65 — 337
121 Nepal Asia 14.5 — LOW — — — -0.40 — —
122 Zambia Africa 14.3 — LOW — — — -0.35 — —
123 Burkina Faso Africa 14 — LOW — — — — — 60K
124 Austria Europe 13.9 — LOW 4 — — 1.76 — —
125 North Macedonia Europe 13.5 — LOW — — — -0.20 — —
126 Tonga Oceania 13.3 — LOW — — — — — 32.6K
127 Djibouti Africa 13.2 — LOW — — — — — 31.5K
128 Kyrgyzstan Asia 13.1 — LOW — — — — — 29K
129 Jamaica Americas 13 — LOW — — — -0.10 — —
130 Mozambique Africa 12.8 — LOW — — — — — 23.6K
131 Monaco Europe 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19K
132 Macao Asia 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 19.6K
133 Panama Americas 12.6 — LOW — — — — — 18.7K
134 Congo Africa 12.5 ▲2.8 LOW 3 — — — — —
135 Eswatini Africa 12.5 — LOW 3 — — — — —
136 Papua New Guinea Oceania 12.2 — LOW — — — — — 13.8K
137 Benin Africa 12.1 — LOW — — — — — 13K
138 Kuwait Asia 12 — LOW — — — 0.10 — —
139 New Zealand Oceania 11.1 — LOW — — — 1.85 — 3.7K
140 Guam Oceania 10.9 — LOW — — — — — 5.3K
141 Gabon Africa 10.7 — LOW — — — — — 4.5K
142 Suriname Americas 10.1 — LOW — — — — — 2.7K
143 Botswana Africa 9.9 — LOW — — — 0.52 — —
144 Denmark Europe 9.9 ▲7 LOW 1 — — 1.90 — —
145 Belize Americas 9.8 — LOW — — — — — 2.2K
146 Philippines Asia 9.7 — LOW — — — — — 2K
147 Liberia Africa 9.6 — LOW — — — — — 1.8K
148 Costa Rica Americas 9.4 — LOW — — — 0.62 — —
149 Angola Africa 9.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
150 Cote d'Ivoire Africa 9.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
151 Malawi Africa 9.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
152 Puerto Rico Americas 9.3 — LOW 1 — — — — —
153 Cabo Verde Africa 8.8 — LOW — — — 0.75 — —
154 Liechtenstein Europe 8.2 — LOW — — — — — 607
155 Bahamas Americas 7.8 — LOW — — — — — 460
156 Uruguay Americas 7.3 — LOW — — — 1.05 — —
157 Portugal Europe 7 — LOW — — — 1.10 — —
158 Sint Maarten Americas 6.2 — LOW — — — — — 133
159 Guyana Americas 5.6 — LOW — — — — — 82
160 Guinea-Bissau Africa 5.1 — LOW — — — — — 54
161 Ireland Europe 4.9 — LOW — — — 1.53 — —
162 Iceland Europe 3.9 — LOW — — — 1.72 — —
163 Sao Tome and Principe Africa 3.8 — LOW — — — — — 19
164 Nauru Oceania 3.4 — LOW — — — — — 13
165 Mongolia Asia 3.1 — LOW — — — — — 10
166 Turks and Caicos Islands Americas 2.7 — LOW — — — — — 7
167 Saint Lucia Americas 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5
168 Vatican City Europe 2.3 — LOW — — — — — 5

Rankings are only as complete as the loaded data — countries with no signals are omitted, not judged safe. Cyber attribution depends on geolocated indicators.

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